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- January 22nd Market Overview
January 22nd Market Overview
January 22nd Market Overview
Happy Wednesday.
Markets are pushing higher today as Trump's $500B "Stargate" AI infrastructure project takes stage, partnering with OpenAI, $ORCL, and SoftBank.
$NFLX delivered big earnings yesterday in after-hours with over 300M subscribers and an 18.9M subscriber beat. The tech sector leads gains while a potential 10% China tariff looms for February 1st.
Let's dig in...
P.S. JukeBox is a startup that allows investors to diversify their portfolio into music royalties of artist like Michael Jackson, Beyonce, Justin Beiber, and Taylor Swift.
Executive Summary
S&P 500 hits new record of 6,100.81, driven by tech sector strength
Trump admin unveils $500B AI infrastructure initiative with OpenAI, Oracle, and SoftBank
$NFLX crushes earnings expectations, surpasses 300M global subscribers
China announces measures to boost market liquidity through insurance fund investments
Signs of iPhone market share erosion in China impacts $AAPL
Market Overview
S&P 500 | +0.69% |
Nasdaq | +1.33% |
Dow Jones | +.30% |
Key Market Drivers
AI Infrastructure Investment: The Stargate project's $500B commitment includes $100B immediate deployment, with key collaborators $ARM, $MSFT, $NVDA, $ORCL and OpenAI. The initiative aims to boost U.S. re-industrialization and strengthen national security, starting in Texas.
Streaming Sector Evolution: $NFLX demonstrates streaming market strength with record-breaking NFL viewership on Christmas Day and the most-streamed sporting event with the Paul-Tyson fight. The success of Squid Games and 55% of new sign-ups choosing ad-supported tiers validates their business model.
China Market Policy Shift: Government announces comprehensive plan to increase insurance company stock investments, expand swap facilities for securities firms, and guide major state-owned insurers to raise A-share investments, signaling strong market support.
Broad Earnings Momentum: Beyond technology, multiple sectors show strength with $PG beating on $21.88B revenue, $UAL raising Q1 guidance above consensus, and $JNJ exceeding Q4 expectations with $22.52B revenue. This cross-sector performance indicates broader market health.
Music royalties: The untapped asset class.
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Stock Spotlight
$NFLX
Global subscribers reach 301.63M, adding 18.91M new members
Revenue ▲ 16% to $10.25B
Operating margin expands to 22.2%
Plans $15B share buyback program
Price increases of $1-$2.50 monthly across subscription tiers
$ORCL
Shares ▲ 7% on Stargate AI project participation
Trading volume exceeds 20M shares, double 30-day average
Key participant in national AI infrastructure development
$PG
Q2 EPS of $1.88 tops $1.86 estimate
Revenue reaches $21.88B vs $21.54B expected
Effective cost management drives margin expansion
Big Name Updates
$AAPL
Chinese market share drops to third position
Holiday quarter iPhone sales ▼ 18%
Huawei claims market leadership
$META
Expands wearables strategy for 2025
Develops Oakley-branded smart glasses
Plans AI-enhanced earbuds with cameras
Instagram Reels gains from potential TikTok restrictions
$GOOGL
Commits additional $1B to Anthropic
Total investment exceeds $3B
Strengthens position against OpenAI
Other Notable Company News
$UAL ▲ 5% on strong Q1 guidance
$CELH ▼ 4.6% after TD Cowen downgrade
$DIS receives Citi buy rating, $125 target
$SNOW price target raised to $210 at Wedbush
Sector Watch
Sector | Symbol | % Change |
---|---|---|
Technology | $XLK | ▲ 2.45% |
Communication Services | $XLC | ▲ 1.13% |
Industrials | $XLI | ▲ 0.03% |
Consumer Staples | $XLP | ▼ 0.07% |
Healthcare | $XLV | ▼ 0.13% |
Consumer Discretionary | $XLY | ▼ 0.21% |
Financials | $XLF | ▼ 0.30% |
Materials | $XLB | ▼ 0.49% |
Energy | $XLE | ▼ 1.23% |
Real Estate | $XLRE | ▼ 1.41% |
Utilities | $XLU | ▼ 1.83% |
Bond Market
Treasury yields declined across the curve, with the benchmark 10-year dropping 4 basis points to 4.57%.
Trump's softer stance on immediate tariff implementation took market by surprise. Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Political Economist Alec Phillips noted the admin’s trade announcements were "more benign than expected," leading to reduced concerns about immediate inflationary pressures from universal tariffs.
Policy Watch
Trump administration considers 10% tariff on Chinese imports, citing fentanyl distribution through Mexico and Canada. Implementation targeted for February 1st, with potential 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada in coming weeks
Newly formed cryptocurrency task force aims to develop comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets, signaling increased focus on crypto market oversight
Administration plans to disband National Space Council under pressure from $SPACEX, marking shift in space policy governance
China's market support initiatives include:
Increasing medium and long-term fund allocation to equity markets
Directing major state-owned insurers to boost A-share investments
Expanding swap facilities for securities firms to enhance market liquidity
Iran senior official states nuclear weapon development capability, adding geopolitical complexity to market considerations
Today’s Sponsors -
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Visit www.jkbx.com/legal/offering-circulars for important Reg A disclosures. This content is not investment advice, nor is it an offer of securities. All investments involve risk and may result in loss.
What to Watch
AI Infrastructure Development Timeline:
Initial $100B deployment strategy
Regional focus starting in Texas
Job creation metrics
Streaming Wars Evolution:
$NFLX price increase impact on subscriber retention
Ad-supported tier performance
Live sports content expansion
China Market Policy Effects:
Insurance fund allocation changes
Impact on foreign investment flows
Technology sector competitive dynamics
Trade Policy Implementation:
Tariff timeline developments
Supply chain adjustments
Corporate response strategies
Thanks for reading 🙂
- John
Note: This newsletter is intended for informational purposes only.